2026

August

The Price of Corruption: Evidence from Lava Jato and the Construction Club in Peru

The Macroeconomics of Automation: Sorting Frictions and the Asymmetry Between Robots and AI

Who Could Have Rational Expectations? Bounds Across People and Information Sets

July

Did the Uruguay Round Spark Innovation? Evidence from Developing Countries Using Patent Data

Terrorism and Regional Development: Evidence from Peru’s Internal War

June

Do Voters Punish Political Instability? — Replication Data

Do Voters Punish Political Instability? Attribution, Electoral Subversion, and Material Disruption in Peru

How Economists Adopt Methods: Entry Barriers, Specialization, and Community Sorting

The Construction Club Cartel — Reconstructed Dataset

March

Missing Mass and Minimum Wages: Distributional Changes around Four Minimum Wage Increases in Peru

Qhawarina — Peru Open Economic Data

February

Qhawarina: Real-Time Economic Monitoring for Peru

Automation Is Not a Sufficient Statistic: Robots, AI, and Inequality

The Two Margins of Economic Coercion: Leverage and Partial Compliance under Imposed Sanctions

Auditing the Challenger: Legal Challenge Records as Adversarially Selected Forensic Samples

Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks in an Administered-Rate Economy: Evidence from Peru

Wider Frontier or Higher Rate? Decomposing Complementary Task Creation Across Automation Frontiers

January

Shifts in Regime, Shifts in Mind: Estimating the Attitudinal Effects of Democratization

When Bad Institutions Meet Good Ones: The Peruvian Puzzle

2025

December

Commodity Booms and Violent Conflict

Import Liberalization, Not Export Expansion

The Anatomy of a Nobel Prize (1969–2025)

January

A Theory of (Illusional) Progress

Relating Cognitive Skills and Personality Traits to Economic Preferences: Decision-Making under Cognitive Shocks and Guessing

2024

December

Electoral Pressure and Political Lying: A Theory of Political Lying

A Simple Mathematical Model of Lying

November

Estimating The Effects Of Financial Liberalization On Governability And Social Stability

June

The Macroeconomic Consequences of Political Instability

January

Cooperation Pay-Off: An Analysis Across Latin America’s Firms

Minimum Wage and Ethnic Gaps

2023

February

Mining Presence and Domestic Violence

January

A Panel VAR Analysis of the Dynamic Impact of Undervaluation on Economic Growth

Does Foreign Investment Improve or Worsen Aggregate Productivity? A Panel VAR Analysis

Domestic Violence, Labor Market, And Minimum Wage: Theory And Evidence from Peru

Heterogeneous Effects of Monetary Policy on Industries

Mining Presence on Inequality, Labor Income, and Poverty

2022

September

Closing Peru’s Ethnic Gaps Amidst Sustained Economic Growth

2020

January

Determinants of the Real Exchange Rate: A Behavioural and Fundamental Dynamic Analysis in Latin American Countries

The impact of El Niño phenomenon on dry forest-dependent communities’ welfare in the northern coast of Peru

The Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on the Real Exchange Rate in Latin America

2018

January

Estimación de los efectos de la violencia física hacia la mujer en la salud familiar en el Perú: 2012–2016