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What this is

The open data behind Qhawarina, a real-time economic-monitoring platform for Peru. Four indicators are produced and published daily under an open license:

  • Daily price index — a Billion-Prices-style supermarket inflation index built from 42,000+ products scraped daily, chain-linked with the Jevons formula.
  • Political-risk index — a daily, news-based measure of the intensity of political instability in Peru, classified from 81 Peruvian news sources with an EPU-style severity weighting. This is the political-instability measure for Peru.
  • GDP nowcast — a dynamic factor model over 35+ monthly indicators, with regional disaggregation.
  • Monetary-poverty projection — a monthly department-level estimate combining survey data and nighttime lights.

The qhawarina-methodology.pdf documents the formulas, data sources, assumptions, validation, and known limitations for each indicator.

Sources and license

Built from public sources (BCRP, INEI, MIDAGRI, supermarket VTEX APIs, Peruvian news RSS feeds, VIIRS nighttime lights). Released under CC BY 4.0. All code is open at github.com/cesarchavezp29/qhawarina.

Citation

Chávez Padilla, Carlos César. 2026. “Qhawarina — Nowcasting Económico para el Perú (Documento Metodológico), v1.0.”