Download
- Dataset (ZIP, ~1.7 MB) — 20 CSVs, README, data dictionary, and license.
What this is
The district-level electoral panel behind the paper Do Voters Punish Political Instability?. The design compares Peruvian districts targeted by Fuerza Popular’s 2021 vote-annulment offensive with profile-matched controls, and districts crossed by the paralyzed Lava Jato road corridors, across the 2006–2026 elections.
The package contains the estimation universe and propensity groups, the primary two-way runoff outcome and the first-round outcome, the 36-specification robustness curve, the first-round block decomposition and the offensive-intensity (threatened-vote) panel, the two mechanism tests (intensity and runoff absorption), the Lava Jato corridor exposure with 2016 construction status, and the Conley spatial-HAC inference table. A README.md and DATA_DICTIONARY.md document every file and column.
Sources and privacy
Built entirely from public sources: ONPE electoral results (2006–2026), JNE and INFOgob annulment-petition records and the 2021 presidential baseline, and the INEI 2017 census. Every table is a geographic aggregate keyed on the ONPE district code (UBIGEO). No personal data is included — no names, identifiers, or individual-level records. INEI and ONPE use different district codings; the electoral key is the ONPE UBIGEO throughout.
License
Released under CC BY 4.0.
Citation
Chávez Padilla, Carlos César. 2026. Replication data for “Do Voters Punish Political Instability? Attribution, Electoral Subversion, and Material Disruption in Peru.” Derived from public ONPE, JNE/INFOgob, and INEI sources.