https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/Recent content on Carlos César Chávez Padillahttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/og-image.pnghttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/og-image.pngHugo -- 0.147.2enSat, 23 May 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/cv/Sat, 23 May 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/cv/Curriculum Vitae of Carlos César Chávez Padillahttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/projects/qhawarina/Sun, 22 Feb 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/projects/qhawarina/A comprehensive nowcasting platform for Peru's economy using dynamic factor models, daily price indices, and political risk monitoring.https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/automation/Tue, 10 Feb 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/automation/Two-frontier task model showing why aggregate automation masks opposite skill-premium effects of robots and AI.https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/tariff-coercion/Thu, 05 Feb 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/tariff-coercion/When does economic leverage through tariffs work?https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/trade-liberalization/Thu, 01 Jan 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/trade-liberalization/Long-term effects of trade liberalization on innovation in developing economieshttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/robots-reinstate-ai-doesnt/Thu, 01 Jan 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/robots-reinstate-ai-doesnt/Robots Reinstate, AI Doesn't: Asymmetric Task Creation Across Automation Frontiers.https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/macroeconomics-asymmetric-automation/Thu, 01 Jan 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/macroeconomics-asymmetric-automation/The Macroeconomics of Asymmetric Automation.https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/commodity-booms/Mon, 01 Dec 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/commodity-booms/Resolving the resource curse puzzlehttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/trade/Mon, 01 Dec 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/trade/Trade-induced poverty reduction through import liberalizationhttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/conflict-migration/Mon, 01 Dec 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/conflict-migration/Evidence from Peru's internal conflicthttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/terrorism/Mon, 01 Dec 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/terrorism/Long-term economic impacts of Peru's internal conflict on regional developmenthttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/nobel/Mon, 01 Dec 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/nobel/Patterns in Nobel Prize awards in Economics from 1969 to 2025https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/ideas-mainstream/Thu, 13 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/ideas-mainstream/Theory and evidence on econometric technique diffusionhttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/caloric-poverty/Mon, 03 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/caloric-poverty/Trade liberalization and caloric poverty reduction in Peruhttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/talks/Sat, 21 Jun 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/talks/Conferences and seminars where I have presented my research.https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/teaching/Sat, 21 Jun 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/teaching/Courses taught and teaching assistant experience.https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/ai-progress/Wed, 01 Jan 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/ai-progress/Balancing technological innovation and civilizational advancementhttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/cognitive-skills-preferences/Wed, 01 Jan 2025 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/cognitive-skills-preferences/Structural model of cognitive ability, personality, and economic preferences in Chinese children. R&R at the Journal of Labor Economics.https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/electoral-lying/Sat, 14 Dec 2024 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/electoral-lying/Theory of political lying under electoral pressurehttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/diffusion-ideas/Wed, 11 Dec 2024 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/diffusion-ideas/Theoretical framework for idea diffusion in economicshttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/lying/Sun, 01 Dec 2024 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/lying/Strategic deception and political manipulationhttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/financial-liberalization/Fri, 01 Nov 2024 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/financial-liberalization/Financial liberalization effects on governability and social stabilityhttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/political-instability/Sat, 01 Jun 2024 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/political-instability/Unpacking the macroeconomic fallout of political turmoilhttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/location/Wed, 08 May 2024 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/location/Office location at the University of Chicagohttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/shining-path/Wed, 01 May 2024 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/shining-path/Nighttime light and global violence using homicide rates and armed conflict deaths 1990-2019https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/cooperation-payoff/Mon, 01 Jan 2024 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/cooperation-payoff/Firm cooperation and productivity in Latin Americahttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/minimum-wage/Mon, 01 Jan 2024 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/minimum-wage/Published in Journal of Economics, Race, and Policyhttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/domestic-violence/Mon, 20 Feb 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/domestic-violence/Evidence from Peru on mining activity and violence against womenhttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/undervaluation-growth-panelvar/Sun, 01 Jan 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/undervaluation-growth-panelvar/Panel VAR evidence on how real exchange rate undervaluation affects economic growth.https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/fdi-productivity/Sun, 01 Jan 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/fdi-productivity/Panel VAR analysis of FDI and aggregate productivityhttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/domestic-violence-wage/Sun, 01 Jan 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/domestic-violence-wage/Theory and evidence on minimum wage and domestic violencehttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/monetary-policy/Sun, 01 Jan 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/monetary-policy/Evidence from publicly traded firms in Peruhttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/mining-violence/Sun, 01 Jan 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/mining-violence/Evidence from Peruhttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/ethnic-gaps/Thu, 01 Sep 2022 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/ethnic-gaps/IMF Working Paper on ethnic income disparities in Peruhttps://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/real-exchange-rate-determinants/Wed, 01 Jan 2020 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/real-exchange-rate-determinants/Behavioural and fundamental analysis of real exchange rate dynamics in Latin America.https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/el-nino-dry-forests/Wed, 01 Jan 2020 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/el-nino-dry-forests/Welfare effects of the El Niño phenomenon on dry-forest-dependent communities in northern Peru.https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/real-exchange-rate-macro/Wed, 01 Jan 2020 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/real-exchange-rate-macro/Macroeconomic fundamentals and the real exchange rate across Latin American economies.https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/domestic-violence-health-peru/Mon, 01 Jan 2018 00:00:00 +0000https://cesarchavezp29.github.io/papers/domestic-violence-health-peru/Efectos de la violencia física contra la mujer sobre la salud familiar en el Perú, 2012–2016.