Commodity Booms and Violent Conflict

Opportunity costs reduce state-based conflict while rapacity increases non-state conflict. Boom-period growth reduced insurgencies by 2.65pp but intensified territorial competition by 0.49pp.

December 2025 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

Spatial Sorting and Conflict Migration

Spatial sorting explains 100% of conflict migrants’ economic advantages. Dual selection: wealth determines who stays, education determines who succeeds among migrants.

December 2025 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

Terrorism and Regional Development: Evidence from Peru's Internal War

Studies how exposure to terrorism during Peru’s internal war (1980-2000) affected long-term regional economic development.

December 2025 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

The Shining Path of the Violence

Explores the relationship between nighttime light intensity and violence patterns globally, with focus on intentional homicide rates and deaths in armed conflicts.

May 2024 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla