Do Voters Punish Political Instability? — Replication Data

Estimation universe, primary and first-round outcomes, the 36-specification robustness curve, the first-round block decomposition and offensive-intensity panel, the two mechanism tests, the Lava Jato corridor exposure, and the spatial-HAC inference table — all district-level and built from public sources.

June 2026 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

The Construction Club Cartel — Reconstructed Dataset

78 cartelized road tenders, 32 sanctioned firms, firm roles, winners, offer-level bids with the adjudicated colluded/competitive label, fines and illicit benefit, and exposure measures.

June 2026 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

Qhawarina — Peru Open Economic Data

The open datasets behind the Qhawarina nowcasting platform — a daily supermarket price index, a daily news-based political-risk (instability) index for Peru, a GDP nowcast, and a poverty projection — with a full methodology document. Updated daily, CC BY 4.0.

March 2026 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla