Qhawarina Platform

Qhawarina: Real-Time Economic Monitoring for Peru

Real-time monitoring system for Peru’s economic indicators including GDP, inflation, poverty, and political risk using state-of-the-art econometric methods and daily data scraping.

February 2026 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

Commodity Booms and Violent Conflict

Opportunity costs reduce state-based conflict while rapacity increases non-state conflict. Boom-period growth reduced insurgencies by 2.65pp but intensified territorial competition by 0.49pp.

December 2025 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

Spatial Sorting and Conflict Migration

Spatial sorting explains 100% of conflict migrants’ economic advantages. Dual selection: wealth determines who stays, education determines who succeeds among migrants.

December 2025 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

Terrorism and Regional Development: Evidence from Peru's Internal War

Studies how exposure to terrorism during Peru’s internal war (1980-2000) affected long-term regional economic development.

December 2025 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

Feeding the Poor: How Trade Liberalization Reduced Caloric Poverty in Peru

170 views, 29 downloads. Shows how import liberalization reduced food prices and caloric poverty in Peru.

November 2025 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

The Shining Path of the Violence

Explores the relationship between nighttime light intensity and violence patterns globally, with focus on intentional homicide rates and deaths in armed conflicts.

May 2024 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

Minimum Wage and Ethnic Gaps

Examines how minimum wage policy affects ethnic income gaps in Peru.

January 2024 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

Mining Presence and Domestic Violence

Estimates the effects of mining activity on violence against women in Peru, examining both direct and indirect channels through labor markets and social norms.

February 2023 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

Domestic Violence, Labor Market, And Minimum Wage: Theory And Evidence from Peru

811 views, 153 downloads. High-impact paper on minimum wage effects on domestic violence in Peru.

January 2023 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

Heterogeneous Effects of Monetary Policy on Industries

Elaborates a new measure of monetary policy shock and examines heterogeneous effects across industries using firm profitability and Local Projections methodology.

January 2023 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

Mining Presence on Inequality, Labor Income, and Poverty

Published in Mineral Economics - examines effects of mining presence on inequality, labor income, and poverty in Peru.

January 2023 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

Closing Peru's Ethnic Gaps Amidst Sustained Economic Growth

Examines Peru’s ethnic income gaps during sustained economic growth period.

September 2022 · Gonzalo Salinas, Carlos César Chávez Padilla, Zahid Yuri