The Limits of Tariff Coercion: When Does Economic Leverage Work?

42 views, 16 downloads. Examines conditions under which tariff threats effectively coerce policy changes in target countries.

February 2026 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

Electoral Pressure and Political Lying: A Theory of Political Lying

154 views, 31 downloads. Develops a game-theoretic model of when politicians lie under electoral pressure.

December 2024 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

A Simple Mathematical Model of Lying

Addresses strategic deception, political economy, misinformation, and political manipulation through a mathematical framework.

December 2024 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

Estimating The Effects Of Financial Liberalization On Governability And Social Stability

304 views, 46 downloads. Examines how financial liberalization affects political and social stability.

November 2024 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla

The Macroeconomic Consequences of Political Instability

Political instability significantly negatively affects economic growth, TFP, FDI, and trade while increasing government spending, inflation, unemployment, inequality, and poverty.

June 2024 · Carlos César Chávez Padilla